Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020
New Mexico Counties versus United States
All Cancer Sites
All Races, Male
Sorted by priority index
Explanation of Column HeadersState/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.
Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.
Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
United States
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -2.0.
- Rate : The death rate is 177.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 177.2 to 177.8 and 315,770 average annual deaths.
New Mexico
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.3.
- Rate : The death rate is 159.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 155.9 to 162.4 and 1,946 average annual deaths.
Sierra County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 220.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 182.6 to 268.0 and 30 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Guadalupe County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 2.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 196.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 133.6 to 281.2 and 6 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Hidalgo County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 206.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 140.3 to 297.5 and 7 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Luna County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 202.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 172.4 to 236.9 and 34 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
McKinley County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 194.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 171.8 to 220.0 and 55 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Mora County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to 1.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 142.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 89.7 to 220.6 and 6 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
San Miguel County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 0.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 157.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 132.4 to 185.9 and 31 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Socorro County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to 0.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 176.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 142.6 to 216.5 and 20 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Catron County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 7.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.6 to 0.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 106.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 69.0 to 184.9 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.6
Chaves County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 171.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 152.8 to 192.7 and 61 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Colfax County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 145.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 113.2 to 185.5 and 16 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Curry County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 178.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 154.4 to 206.1 and 39 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Eddy County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 194.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 172.5 to 218.4 and 59 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Grant County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 180.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 155.1 to 209.4 and 43 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Lea County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -1.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 180.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 159.2 to 204.4 and 54 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Otero County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 174.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 156.7 to 194.2 and 72 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Quay County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 186.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 143.4 to 242.0 and 13 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Roosevelt County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 175.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 139.0 to 218.3 and 16 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Torrance County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 165.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 132.6 to 205.7 and 19 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Valencia County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 162.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 145.9 to 179.6 and 77 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Bernalillo County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 159.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 153.1 to 165.0 and 582 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Cibola County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 135.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 110.3 to 164.9 and 21 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Dona Ana County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 151.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 141.6 to 162.2 and 176 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Lincoln County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 145.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 120.3 to 174.9 and 27 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Los Alamos County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 134.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 106.9 to 167.8 and 17 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Rio Arriba County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.9 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 152.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 131.3 to 176.9 and 38 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
San Juan County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 156.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 142.5 to 170.9 and 100 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Sandoval County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 155.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 143.7 to 168.8 and 132 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Santa Fe County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 128.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 118.8 to 139.1 and 140 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Taos County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 137.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 117.2 to 160.9 and 37 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 171.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 96.6 to 311.9 and 3 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 189.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 122.7 to 280.8 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/15/2024 5:12 am.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Harding County
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
De Baca County, Union County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.