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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (2002-2020)

Incidence, Pennsylvania, Melanoma of the Skin, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Incidence, Pennsylvania, Melanoma of the Skin, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 19 years and 3 segments
During 2002-2007, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.1 to 2.6.
During 2007-2014, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 5.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 9.7.
During 2014-2020, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.5 to -1.9.
Yearly points:
In 2002, the observed rate was 17.2. The estimated rate was 17.6.
In 2003, the observed rate was 18.0. The estimated rate was 17.7.
In 2004, the observed rate was 17.5. The estimated rate was 17.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 18.4. The estimated rate was 17.8.
In 2006, the observed rate was 18.2. The estimated rate was 17.8.
In 2007, the observed rate was 17.4. The estimated rate was 17.8.
In 2008, the observed rate was 18.4. The estimated rate was 18.8.
In 2009, the observed rate was 20.5. The estimated rate was 19.8.
In 2010, the observed rate was 21.1. The estimated rate was 20.9.
In 2011, the observed rate was 21.7. The estimated rate was 22.0.
In 2012, the observed rate was 21.8. The estimated rate was 23.2.
In 2013, the observed rate was 24.9. The estimated rate was 24.5.
In 2014, the observed rate was 26.1. The estimated rate was 25.8.
In 2015, the observed rate was 26.0. The estimated rate was 24.8.
In 2016, the observed rate was 23.7. The estimated rate was 23.9.
In 2017, the observed rate was 21.8. The estimated rate was 23.0.
In 2018, the observed rate was 21.5. The estimated rate was 22.1.
In 2019, the observed rate was 22.2. The estimated rate was 21.2.
In 2020, the observed rate was 17.3. The estimated rate was 0.0.

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