State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, Alabama, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 33 years and 3 segments
During 1990-1997, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 0.6.
During 1997-2009, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.8.
During 2009-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.6.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 718.6. The estimated rate was 720.8.
In 1991, the observed rate was 721.2. The estimated rate was 721.6.
In 1992, the observed rate was 724.9. The estimated rate was 722.3.
In 1993, the observed rate was 718.8. The estimated rate was 723.1.
In 1994, the observed rate was 729.8. The estimated rate was 723.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 725.3. The estimated rate was 724.6.
In 1996, the observed rate was 726.9. The estimated rate was 725.3.
In 1997, the observed rate was 721.7. The estimated rate was 726.1.
In 1998, the observed rate was 722.7. The estimated rate was 719.4.
In 1999, the observed rate was 698.0. The estimated rate was 712.7.
In 2000, the observed rate was 711.9. The estimated rate was 706.1.
In 2001, the observed rate was 707.1. The estimated rate was 699.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 693.4. The estimated rate was 693.1.
In 2003, the observed rate was 691.2. The estimated rate was 686.7.
In 2004, the observed rate was 676.8. The estimated rate was 680.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 678.5. The estimated rate was 674.0.
In 2006, the observed rate was 661.9. The estimated rate was 667.8.
In 2007, the observed rate was 655.6. The estimated rate was 661.6.
In 2008, the observed rate was 654.7. The estimated rate was 655.5.
In 2009, the observed rate was 651.7. The estimated rate was 649.4.
In 2010, the observed rate was 637.5. The estimated rate was 638.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 625.3. The estimated rate was 626.7.
In 2012, the observed rate was 613.6. The estimated rate was 615.7.
In 2013, the observed rate was 606.4. The estimated rate was 604.8.
In 2014, the observed rate was 590.6. The estimated rate was 594.2.
In 2015, the observed rate was 587.9. The estimated rate was 583.7.
In 2016, the observed rate was 578.2. The estimated rate was 573.4.
In 2017, the observed rate was 564.9. The estimated rate was 563.3.
In 2018, the observed rate was 563.8. The estimated rate was 553.4.
In 2019, the observed rate was 535.6. The estimated rate was 543.6.
In 2020, the observed rate was 533.1. The estimated rate was 534.0.
In 2021, the observed rate was 525.3. The estimated rate was 524.6.
In 2022, the observed rate was 511.1. The estimated rate was 515.4.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/22/2025 4:27 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.