State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (2000-2020)

Incidence, Massachusetts, All Cancer Sites, AI/AN Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 21 years and 2 segments
During 2000-2007, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 10.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.6 to 62.0.
During 2007-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -19.5 to 0.9.
Yearly points:
In 2000, the observed rate was 196.6. The estimated rate was 149.8.
In 2001, the observed rate was 162.6. The estimated rate was 165.7.
In 2002, the observed rate was 167.5. The estimated rate was 183.3.
In 2003, the observed rate was 160.8. The estimated rate was 202.8.
In 2004, the observed rate was 219.7. The estimated rate was 224.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 236.6. The estimated rate was 248.1.
In 2006, the observed rate was 231.3. The estimated rate was 274.5.
In 2007, the observed rate was 348.4. The estimated rate was 303.6.
In 2008, the observed rate was 318.3. The estimated rate was 297.4.
In 2009, the observed rate was 341.1. The estimated rate was 291.4.
In 2010, the observed rate was 252.1. The estimated rate was 285.5.
In 2011, the observed rate was 162.8. The estimated rate was 279.7.
In 2012, the observed rate was 359.4. The estimated rate was 274.0.
In 2013, the observed rate was 189.6. The estimated rate was 268.5.
In 2014, the observed rate was 234.3. The estimated rate was 263.0.
In 2015, the observed rate was 260.8. The estimated rate was 257.7.
In 2016, the observed rate was 286.9. The estimated rate was 252.5.
In 2017, the observed rate was 272.0. The estimated rate was 247.4.
In 2018, the observed rate was 264.3. The estimated rate was 242.3.
In 2019, the observed rate was 189.8. The estimated rate was 237.4.
In 2020, the observed rate was 292.7. The estimated rate was 0.0.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/18/2024 10:44 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.

Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.

Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected racial groups or counties.