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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1979-2016)

Incidence, New Jersey, Breast, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Female

Incidence, New Jersey, Breast, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Female

Line graph with 38 years and 6 segments
During 1979-1981, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to 10.6.
During 1981-1984, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.1 to 4.5.
During 1984-1987, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 5.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 11.2.
During 1987-2000, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 0.3.
During 2000-2003, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.6 to 2.1.
During 2003-2016, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.1 to 0.6.
Yearly points:
In 1979, the observed rate was 116.5. The estimated rate was 116.8.
In 1980, the observed rate was 122.2. The estimated rate was 121.5.
In 1981, the observed rate was 125.3. The estimated rate was 126.4.
In 1982, the observed rate was 126.2. The estimated rate was 124.6.
In 1983, the observed rate was 122.0. The estimated rate was 122.8.
In 1984, the observed rate was 120.9. The estimated rate was 121.0.
In 1985, the observed rate was 128.5. The estimated rate was 127.1.
In 1986, the observed rate was 131.1. The estimated rate was 133.6.
In 1987, the observed rate was 139.4. The estimated rate was 140.4.
In 1988, the observed rate was 143.3. The estimated rate was 140.4.
In 1989, the observed rate was 138.8. The estimated rate was 140.4.
In 1990, the observed rate was 144.7. The estimated rate was 140.4.
In 1991, the observed rate was 140.9. The estimated rate was 140.5.
In 1992, the observed rate was 142.0. The estimated rate was 140.5.
In 1993, the observed rate was 139.1. The estimated rate was 140.5.
In 1994, the observed rate was 136.5. The estimated rate was 140.5.
In 1995, the observed rate was 137.6. The estimated rate was 140.6.
In 1996, the observed rate was 138.2. The estimated rate was 140.6.
In 1997, the observed rate was 142.9. The estimated rate was 140.6.
In 1998, the observed rate was 142.2. The estimated rate was 140.7.
In 1999, the observed rate was 141.8. The estimated rate was 140.7.
In 2000, the observed rate was 140.1. The estimated rate was 140.7.
In 2001, the observed rate was 138.4. The estimated rate was 136.7.
In 2002, the observed rate was 132.1. The estimated rate was 132.7.
In 2003, the observed rate was 128.0. The estimated rate was 128.9.
In 2004, the observed rate was 132.2. The estimated rate was 129.4.
In 2005, the observed rate was 128.5. The estimated rate was 129.8.
In 2006, the observed rate was 128.6. The estimated rate was 130.3.
In 2007, the observed rate was 130.9. The estimated rate was 130.7.
In 2008, the observed rate was 132.1. The estimated rate was 131.1.
In 2009, the observed rate was 133.9. The estimated rate was 131.6.
In 2010, the observed rate was 130.3. The estimated rate was 132.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 129.5. The estimated rate was 132.5.
In 2012, the observed rate was 131.4. The estimated rate was 132.9.
In 2013, the observed rate was 136.2. The estimated rate was 133.4.
In 2014, the observed rate was 135.0. The estimated rate was 133.8.
In 2015, the observed rate was 135.2. The estimated rate was 134.3.
In 2016, the observed rate was 133.3. The estimated rate was 134.7.

Notes: