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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1979-2016)

Incidence, New Jersey, Esophagus, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Incidence, New Jersey, Esophagus, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 38 years and 2 segments
During 1979-2003, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.1.
During 2003-2016, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.0.
Yearly points:
In 1979, the observed rate was 5.5. The estimated rate was 5.4.
In 1980, the observed rate was 5.3. The estimated rate was 5.4.
In 1981, the observed rate was 5.2. The estimated rate was 5.4.
In 1982, the observed rate was 5.5. The estimated rate was 5.4.
In 1983, the observed rate was 5.7. The estimated rate was 5.4.
In 1984, the observed rate was 5.3. The estimated rate was 5.4.
In 1985, the observed rate was 5.3. The estimated rate was 5.4.
In 1986, the observed rate was 5.2. The estimated rate was 5.4.
In 1987, the observed rate was 5.3. The estimated rate was 5.4.
In 1988, the observed rate was 5.1. The estimated rate was 5.3.
In 1989, the observed rate was 5.1. The estimated rate was 5.3.
In 1990, the observed rate was 5.1. The estimated rate was 5.3.
In 1991, the observed rate was 5.5. The estimated rate was 5.3.
In 1992, the observed rate was 5.7. The estimated rate was 5.3.
In 1993, the observed rate was 5.9. The estimated rate was 5.3.
In 1994, the observed rate was 5.5. The estimated rate was 5.3.
In 1995, the observed rate was 5.2. The estimated rate was 5.3.
In 1996, the observed rate was 5.0. The estimated rate was 5.3.
In 1997, the observed rate was 5.3. The estimated rate was 5.3.
In 1998, the observed rate was 5.4. The estimated rate was 5.2.
In 1999, the observed rate was 5.2. The estimated rate was 5.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 5.2. The estimated rate was 5.2.
In 2001, the observed rate was 5.1. The estimated rate was 5.2.
In 2002, the observed rate was 4.8. The estimated rate was 5.2.
In 2003, the observed rate was 5.2. The estimated rate was 5.2.
In 2004, the observed rate was 5.2. The estimated rate was 5.1.
In 2005, the observed rate was 4.7. The estimated rate was 5.0.
In 2006, the observed rate was 5.1. The estimated rate was 4.9.
In 2007, the observed rate was 5.0. The estimated rate was 4.9.
In 2008, the observed rate was 4.8. The estimated rate was 4.8.
In 2009, the observed rate was 4.6. The estimated rate was 4.7.
In 2010, the observed rate was 5.0. The estimated rate was 4.6.
In 2011, the observed rate was 4.4. The estimated rate was 4.6.
In 2012, the observed rate was 4.5. The estimated rate was 4.5.
In 2013, the observed rate was 4.3. The estimated rate was 4.4.
In 2014, the observed rate was 4.4. The estimated rate was 4.4.
In 2015, the observed rate was 4.3. The estimated rate was 4.3.
In 2016, the observed rate was 4.1. The estimated rate was 4.2.

Notes: